The Batavian 2009 Election Survey Results
Below are the results of the election survey taken of readers of The Batavian over the past three days.
Please keep in mind:
- This is somewhat experimental. We're curious how close we can get to accurately reflecting how the election will go. That question won't be answered until election night. But as a matter of transparency, we're releasing the results tonight (also, even while acknowledging the potential pitfalls of this survey, candidates are expressing an eagerness to know the results.
- This is a non-scientific survey. Participants are self selected, which statisticians will tell you can skew results.
- An online survey isn't beyond being gamed, or tricked, but I see no evidence of that taking place in this case.
All of that to say: You shouldn't let these results influence your voting decisions, from who to vote for or whether to show up at the polls. Treat this as a potentially interesting reflection of how readers of The Batavian are responding to the candidates, but not necessarily a prediction of what will happen on Election Day.
Two other notes. We are not randomly deleting responses as we previously said we would. We had to delete too many as it is because SOOO MANNNNY people didn't follow the instructions on the survey.
The most common reason we deleted surveys (and whole surveys were deleted, not just specific questions) was people voting in BOTH district elections for the County Legislature. The next most common reason, was saying you lived in the Town of Batavia or another town and then voting in Batavia races or on the charter question.
We have 165 completed surveys. We trashed at least 200 more for failure to follow the instructions and another 25 for stating not registered to vote and unlikely to vote (you see, those were trick questions). We also deleted five surveys with duplicate IP addresses.
We're also not displaying results for jurisdictions that had only one or two respondents.
Here's the results:
Very likely to vote: 149 (90%)
|Batavia City Council - Council at Large|
|Marianne Clattenburg||49 (22%)|
|Timothy E. Buckley||45 (21%)|
|Frank C. Ferrando, Jr||44 (20%)|
|Phillip J. Ricci||39 (18%)|
|Sara J. Balbi||26 (12%)|
|Julie Ann Wallace||15 (7%)|
|City of Batavia Charter Revision|
|Genesee County Legislator District 7 (Wards 1 & 6)|
|Robert H. Radley||22 (59%)|
|Rosemary Christian||15 (41%)|
|Genesee County Legislator District 8 (Wards 2 & 3)|
|Christopher M. Charvella||17 (55%)|
|Hollis D. Upson||14 (45%)|
|Darien Town Clerk|
|Alice E. Calmes||5 (56%)|
|Linda P. Graber||4 (44%)|
|Darien Town Council (Vote for 2)|
|Michael A. Plitt||7 (35%)|
|Stephen J. Ferry||5 (25%)|
|Christopher M. Nicastro||4 (20%)|
|Charles J. Flagg||3 (15%)|
|Jimmie E. Flaming||1 (5%)|
|Darien Town Council, unexpired term|
|David D. Riker||7 (70%)|
|Samuel E. Williams||3 (30%)|
|Le Roy Town Justice|
|Kermit Arrington||13 (65%)|
|Darryl D. Sehm||7 (35%)|
|Le Roy Town Council (Pick 2)|
|Thomas Stella||15 (58%)|
|Christine M. Smith||8 (31%)|
|Jay E. Whipple||3 (12%)|
|Le Roy Town Council, unexpired term|
|Kelly J. Lathan||14 (67%)|
|Jennifer AO Keys||7 (33%)|
|Stafford Town Council (Vote for 2)|
|Ronald Panek||10 (38%)|
|Donald L. Mullen||9 (35%)|
|Michelle Mouery||7 (27%)|
|Stafford Superintendent of Highways|
|Steven Boldt||13 (87%)|
|James D. Pontillo||2 (13%)|